# Analysis of Hybrid Bond Suitability ## Entity A: TenneT Holding B.V. **Business Profile:** - Transmission system operator (TSO) — quintessential regulated utility/infrastructure - Owned by the Dutch State — strong sovereign backing - Falls squarely into "Strongly Suitable" category **Financial Analysis:** - Already has €2,125M in hybrid capital outstanding — experienced hybrid issuer - Significant net losses: -€879M (FY2022), -€340M (FY2021) — deteriorating profitability - Massive capex program: €4,424M in FY2022 (up from €3,711M), driving rapid asset growth - Long-term borrowings surged from €12,366M to €19,006M (+54%) - Total debt growing rapidly; equity of €7,713M vs. total assets of €38,509M - Equity/Assets ratio: ~20% — relatively thin - Received €1,230M capital contribution from the Dutch State in FY2022, signaling need for capital support - Net debt growing substantially; leverage metrics clearly deteriorating - FFO under pressure given operating losses - Finance costs rising: €300M vs €202M prior year **Hybrid Rationale:** - Existing hybrid bonds (€2,125M) may need refinancing depending on call dates - Deteriorating credit metrics with massive investment program (energy transition capex) - Hybrid issuance would materially improve adjusted leverage given thin equity base - Regulated TSO with highly predictable cash flows — ideal hybrid issuer profile - Clear need for additional equity-like capital to support investment program - **Priority: HIGH** ## Entity B: ENI S.P.A. **Business Profile:** - Integrated oil & gas major — partially regulated energy, industrial characteristics - Italian listed company - Falls into "Marginally Suitable" category (oil & gas, cyclical commodity exposure) **Financial Analysis:** - Very strong profitability: Net income €13,961M (FY2022), €5,840M (FY2021) - Revenue €132,512M — massive scale - Strong equity base: €55,230M; equity/assets ~36% - Already has perpetual subordinated bonds in equity (issued €2B in FY2021, €3B in FY2020) - Coupon payments on perpetual subordinated bonds: €138M in FY2022 - Share buyback program of €2,400M — returning capital to shareholders - Strong operating cash flow: €17,460M - Long-term borrowings decreased from €23,714M to €19,374M - Credit metrics appear strong and improving - No immediate signs of credit deterioration **Hybrid Rationale:** - Already an active hybrid issuer with existing perpetual subordinated bonds - No apparent deterioration in credit metrics — metrics are strong - Hybrid issuance would be opportunistic rather than necessary - Could refinance existing hybrids, but no urgent need indicated - Strong profitability reduces urgency for hybrid capital - **Priority: LOW** ## Entity C: ENEL S.P.A. **Business Profile:** - Major integrated utility — regulated networks, power generation, retail - European and Latin American operations - Falls into "Strongly Suitable" category (utility) **Financial Analysis:** - Has significant hybrid bonds outstanding: €5,567M in perpetual hybrid bonds - Coupon paid on hybrid bonds: €123M (FY2022), €71M (FY2021) - Issued €3,181M in new hybrid bonds in FY2021 — active hybrid issuer - No new hybrid issuance in FY2022 (€0) - Net income declined: €2,920M (FY2022) vs €3,857M (FY2021) - Significant loss from discontinued operations: -€2,298M - Very high leverage: Long-term borrowings €68,191M (up from €54,500M), short-term borrowings €18,392M - Total equity €42,082M vs total liabilities €177,536M — leverage is elevated - Large capex: €11,281M property + €1,961M intangibles - Operating cash flow €8,674M — decent but declining from €9,915M - Equity declining slightly: €42,082M vs €42,342M - Equity attributable to parent declining: €28,657M vs €29,653M - Dividend payout: €4,900M — significant shareholder returns despite leverage **Hybrid Rationale:** - Large existing hybrid portfolio (€5,567M) — potential refinancing needs - Deteriorating credit metrics with rising leverage - High capex needs for energy transition - Hybrid issuance would meaningfully support credit metrics given high leverage - Utility profile makes it strongly suitable - Equity declining while debt rising significantly — credit pressure - **Priority: MEDIUM-HIGH** ## Ranking 1. **Entity A (TenneT)** — Most urgent: Regulated TSO with deteriorating credit metrics, massive capex program, thin equity base, existing hybrids potentially needing refinancing, operating losses, and capital injection already received from shareholder. Hybrid issuance would most materially improve credit metrics. Strongest suitability profile. 2. **Entity C (ENEL)** — Second priority: Large utility with significant existing hybrid portfolio, rising leverage, declining profitability, large capex needs. High leverage with total borrowings growing substantially. Potential hybrid refinancing needs. Strongly suitable profile but less urgent than TenneT. 3. **Entity B (ENI)** — Lowest priority: Strong profitability, improving credit metrics, active share buybacks suggesting excess capital. Oil & gas profile makes it only marginally suitable. No urgent need for hybrid capital. Any issuance would be purely opportunistic. A,C,B