Okay, let’s proceed step-by-step. **Step 1: Identify the relevant industry for ITALGAS S.P.A.** Italgas S.p.A. is primarily a gas distribution network operator in Italy, a regulated utility. Based on the description, it fits into the **Regulated Utilities** methodology. **Step 2 & 3: Estimate 2021 Adjusted_EBITDA and FFO** For regulated utilities, S&P typically uses EBITDA from operating profit + depreciation, with limited adjustments unless specified. - **2021 Operating Profit (Profit Loss From Operating Activities)**: EUR 583,231,000 - **2021 Depreciation, Amortisation & Impairment**: EUR 445,251,000 - **2021 EBITDA (Operating Profit + Depreciation)**: \( 583,231,000 + 445,251,000 = 1,028,482,000 \) EUR No obvious non-recurring items, pension adjustments, or JV proportional EBITDA provided in the data that would materially change this. So, **Adjusted_EBITDA 2021 ≈ EUR 1,028,482,000**. **FFO 2021 = Adjusted_EBITDA – cash_interest – cash_taxes** - Cash interest (Finance Costs Paid): EUR 59,783,000 - Cash taxes (Income Taxes Paid): EUR 206,923,000 - FFO = \( 1,028,482,000 - 59,783,000 - 206,923,000 = 761,776,000 \) EUR **Step 4: Estimate 2021 Adjusted_Debt** - Reported total liabilities 2022-01-01 (i.e., end 2021): EUR 8,009,516,000 - Short-term financial liabilities: EUR 591,188,000 - Long-term financial liabilities: EUR 5,785,707,000 - Total reported debt (ST + LT financial debt): \( 591,188,000 + 5,785,707,000 = 6,376,895,000 \) - Cash and equivalents: EUR 1,391,763,000 - Net debt (reported debt – cash) = \( 6,376,895,000 - 1,391,763,000 = 4,985,132,000 \) Without explicit lease/pension deficit/hybrid data to adjust, S&P’s base adjusted debt ≈ net debt. So, **Adjusted_Debt 2021 ≈ EUR 4,985,132,000**. **Step 5 & 6: 2021 Ratios** - Adjusted Debt/EBITDA = \( 4,985,132,000 / 1,028,482,000 ≈ 4.85x \) - FFO/Adjusted Debt = \( 761,776,000 / 4,985,132,000 ≈ 0.1528 \) (15.3%) **Step 7 & 8: Estimate 2022 Adjusted_EBITDA and FFO** - 2022 Operating Profit: EUR 641,338,000 - 2022 Depreciation: EUR 479,186,000 - EBITDA = \( 641,338,000 + 479,186,000 = 1,120,524,000 \) EUR - Adjusted_EBITDA 2022 ≈ EUR 1,120,524,000 FFO 2022: - Cash interest paid: EUR 53,720,000 - Cash taxes paid: EUR 152,372,000 - FFO = \( 1,120,524,000 - 53,720,000 - 152,372,000 = 914,432,000 \) EUR **Step 9: Estimate 2022 Adjusted_Debt** - ST financial liabilities: EUR 142,437,000 - LT financial liabilities: EUR 6,402,913,000 - Total debt: \( 142,437,000 + 6,402,913,000 = 6,545,350,000 \) - Cash: EUR 451,946,000 - Net debt = \( 6,545,350,000 - 451,946,000 = 6,093,404,000 \) - Adjusted_Debt 2022 ≈ EUR 6,093,404,000 **Step 10 & 11: 2022 Ratios** - Adjusted Debt/EBITDA = \( 6,093,404,000 / 1,120,524,000 ≈ 5.44x \) - FFO/Adjusted Debt = \( 914,432,000 / 6,093,404,000 ≈ 0.1501 \) (15.0%) **Step 12: Year-on-year trend** - Leverage change: \( 5.44x - 4.85x = +0.59x \) → **Deteriorating** - FFO/Debt change: \( 0.1501 - 0.1528 = -0.0027 \) → **Stable** (within ±0.03) One signal is Stable, the other is Deteriorating → net category is **Deteriorating**. Deteriorating