To determine the credit trend for Acea S.p.A. between 2021 and 2022, we follow the S&P methodology for Regulated Utilities. ### 1. Industry Identification Acea S.p.A. is a multi-utility company (water, energy distribution, and production). It fits the **Regulated Utilities** industry classification. ### 2 & 3. 2021 Adjusted EBITDA and FFO * **Reported EBITDA:** Revenue (3,972M) - Operating Expense (2,737M) = 1,235M. *Note: Gross Profit in report is 1,256M. We will use the reported Gross Profit as the proxy for EBITDA.* * **Adjusted EBITDA 2021:** 1,256M. * **Cash Interest:** 97M. * **Cash Taxes:** 151M. * **FFO 2021:** 1,256 - 97 - 151 = **1,008M**. ### 4, 5, & 6. 2021 Adjusted Debt and Ratios * **Total Debt 2021 (est):** Noncurrent Financial Liabilities (4,792M) + Current Financial Liabilities (285M) = 5,077M. * **Cash (2021-01-01):** 642M. * **Adjusted Debt 2021:** 5,077 - 642 = 4,435M. * **Adj_Debt / Adj_EBITDA 2021:** 4,435 / 1,256 = **3.53x**. * **FFO / Adj_Debt 2021:** 1,008 / 4,435 = **0.227**. ### 7 & 8. 2022 Adjusted EBITDA and FFO * **Reported EBITDA (Gross Profit 2022):** 1,305M. * **Adjusted EBITDA 2022:** 1,305M. * **Cash Interest:** 112M. * **Cash Taxes:** 187M. * **FFO 2022:** 1,305 - 112 - 187 = **1,006M**. ### 9, 10, & 11. 2022 Adjusted Debt and Ratios * **Total Debt 2022 (est):** Noncurrent Financial Liabilities (4,722M) + Current Financial Liabilities (619M) = 5,341M. * **Cash (2023-01-01):** 560M. * **Adjusted Debt 2022:** 5,341 - 560 = 4,781M. * **Adj_Debt / Adj_EBITDA 2022:** 4,781 / 1,305 = **3.66x**. * **FFO / Adj_Debt 2022:** 1,006 / 4,781 = **0.210**. ### 12. Credit Trend Analysis * **Signal 1 (Leverage):** 3.66x - 3.53x = **+0.13x**. (Stable, as it is < +0.2x). * **Signal 2 (Cash-flow coverage):** 0.210 - 0.227 = **-0.017**. (Stable, as it is > -0.03). Both signals are within the defined thresholds for stability. Stable