## Analysis of Iberdrola SA's Suitability for Hybrid Bond Issuance ### 1. Business Profile Assessment **Industry and Regulatory Framework:** Iberdrola is one of the world's largest electric utility companies, headquartered in Spain. It operates across regulated networks (transmission and distribution), renewable generation, and retail supply. The company operates in multiple regulatory jurisdictions (Spain, UK via ScottishPower, US via Avangrid, Brazil via Neoenergia, and other markets). This places it squarely in the regulated utilities and unregulated power sectors described in the S&P methodology. **Key characteristics aligning with "Strongly Suitable":** - Regulated utility with significant infrastructure assets (PP&E of €86.3 billion as of end 2022) - Large-scale operations with geographic diversification across multiple countries and regulatory jurisdictions - Essential service provider with highly visible, recurring cash flows ### 2. Financial Profile Assessment **Scale and Profitability:** - Revenue: €53.9 billion (FY2022), up from €39.1 billion - EBITDA: €13.2 billion (FY2022), up from €12.0 billion - EBITDA margin: ~24.5% (consistent with a utility with pass-through costs) - Net income attributable to parent: €4.3 billion - Total assets: €154.7 billion - Total equity: €58.1 billion **Leverage and Capital Structure:** - Non-current financial liabilities (bank debt + bonds): €36.1 billion - Current financial liabilities (bank debt + bonds): €10.5 billion - Total gross financial debt (excluding derivatives and leases): ~€46.6 billion - Equity: €58.1 billion - Debt/Equity ratio: ~0.80x - Net debt (gross debt minus cash €4.6 billion): ~€42 billion - Net Debt/EBITDA: ~3.2x This leverage profile is consistent with a **BBB-area investment grade rating**. Iberdrola is indeed rated BBB+ by S&P (with stable outlook), which is precisely the sweet spot for hybrid issuance. **Cash Flow Analysis:** - Operating cash flow: €10.4 billion - Investing cash flow: -€10.2 billion - The company is in a heavy capex cycle (construction in progress grew from €9.1 billion to €11.5 billion) - Free cash flow is essentially breakeven before dividends, requiring external funding ### 3. Existing Hybrid Bond Activity The data clearly shows Iberdrola already has hybrid bonds outstanding: - "Devengo De Intereses De Obligaciones Perpetuas Subordinadas" (accrual of interest on subordinated perpetual bonds): €169 million in FY2022 - In FY2021, there was an "Emision De Obligaciones Perpetuas Subordinadas" (issuance of subordinated perpetual bonds) of €2.74 billion - These are classified in equity (non-controlling interests), consistent with equity-accounted hybrid treatment This demonstrates: 1. The company is already an experienced hybrid issuer 2. The market has accepted Iberdrola hybrids 3. Existing hybrids approaching call dates may need refinancing ### 4. Rationale for Hybrid Issuance **Heavy Investment Cycle:** Iberdrola is investing heavily in renewable energy and grid infrastructure (~€10+ billion annually). Hybrids help fund this without fully diluting equity or increasing senior leverage. **Rating Protection:** At BBB+ with significant capex, maintaining leverage metrics is critical. Hybrid bonds receive partial equity credit from rating agencies (typically 50% under S&P methodology), which helps maintain adjusted leverage metrics. **Refinancing Needs:** Existing hybrids (€2.74 billion issued in 2021, plus earlier issuances generating €169 million in annual interest) will need refinancing as they approach call dates. **Financial Policy Credibility:** The company demonstrates disciplined capital allocation - using scrip dividends (share capital increases offset by buybacks), maintaining dividend coverage, and managing treasury share transactions professionally. ### 5. Cash Flow Visibility - Significant regulated network operations provide stable, predictable cash flows - Growing renewable portfolio with long-term PPAs/CfDs provides contracted revenue - Multi-jurisdiction diversification reduces regulatory and weather risk - EBITDA has grown consistently (€12.0 billion → €13.2 billion) ### 6. Market Conditions The swap curve data shows rising interest rates in 2022, and the sub-senior delta for EUR non-financial IG hybrids was approximately 200-250bps over senior. While costs have risen, Iberdrola's investment-grade profile and track record ensure market access. ### Conclusion Iberdrola checks virtually every box for "Strongly Suitable": - ✅ Regulated utility/infrastructure with highly visible cash flows - ✅ Investment grade profile in the BBB area (BBB+) - ✅ Hybrid issuance materially improves adjusted leverage and protects rating - ✅ Strong capex funding rationale (€10+ billion annual investment program) - ✅ High credibility and proven access to hybrid capital markets - ✅ Existing hybrid bonds that may require refinancing - ✅ Financial metrics under pressure from heavy capex, making hybrid equity credit valuable - ✅ Experienced issuer with established investor base Strongly Suitable