I'll work through this step-by-step for VINCI. ## Step 1: Identify the Relevant Industry VINCI is a French construction and concessions company. Its major businesses include: - **Concessions** (motorways/highways via VINCI Autoroutes, airports via VINCI Airports) - **Contracting** (VINCI Energies, Eurovia, VINCI Construction) The concessions business (toll roads, airports) falls under **Transportation Infrastructure**. The contracting business is general corporate. Given VINCI's significant concessions segment, I'll apply the Transportation Infrastructure methodology where relevant, with general corporate adjustments. ## Step 2: Estimate Adjusted EBITDA **Start with EBITDA reconstruction:** From the income statement: - Revenue: €62,514M (€62,265M + €249M other revenue) - Operating Expense: €55,691M - Profit from ordinary operating activities: €6,824M From cash flow statement: - D&A: €3,613M - Share-based payments: €162M (non-cash) EBITDA (from cash flow - pre-working capital): €10,215M is "Cash flows from operations before changes in working capital" which already includes add-backs. Let me reconstruct EBITDA more carefully: - Operating profit (recurring): €6,481M - Add back D&A: €3,613M - Add back share-based payments (non-cash): €162M (already included in the €6,824M operating line but added back in CF) **EBITDA ≈ Operating profit + D&A = €6,489M + €3,613M = €10,102M** **Adjustments:** - **Lease adjustment:** Under S&P methodology, operating leases are already capitalized under IFRS 16. The lease depreciation is in D&A and interest on leases (€48M) is in finance costs. S&P typically adds back IFRS 16 depreciation and interest, then adds the full lease payment. However, since IFRS 16 is already applied, the EBITDA already reflects lease treatment. S&P adds lease depreciation component back into EBITDA (it's already in D&A added back). - **Non-recurring items:** Other operating income/expense non-recurring: €8M gain. Remove this: -€8M. - **Fair value gains:** €236M fair value gains (non-cash) - remove from EBITDA: -€236M. But these may be below EBIT line. Looking at the cash flow more carefully, the €10,215M pre-WC operating cash flow includes adjustments for non-cash items. Let me use a cleaner approach: **Adjusted EBITDA = Operating profit + D&A + non-cash items** = €6,489M + €3,613M + €162M (SBC) - €8M (non-recurring gain) + lease interest €48M = **€10,304M** Adding lease payments back (S&P approach): Lease payments = €661M (financing) + €48M (interest) = €709M. Under S&P, we add the full lease expense. Since D&A already includes lease depreciation, and we've added lease interest, the EBITDA captures the lease adjustment. **Adjusted EBITDA ≈ €10,304M** ## Step 3: Estimate FFO **Cash interest:** Interest paid = €563M (net interest paid from CF) + €48M lease interest = ~€611M. But S&P excludes lease interest from FFO interest. Cash interest paid ≈ €563M. **Cash taxes:** €1,603M (from cash flow statement) **FFO = Adjusted EBITDA - cash interest - cash taxes** = €10,304M - €563M - €1,603M = **€8,138M** ## Step 4: Estimate Adjusted Debt - **Reported debt:** Bonds NC: €20,425M + Other NC borrowings: €3,205M + ST borrowings: €6,368M = €29,998M - **Lease liabilities:** NC €1,580M + Current €522M = €2,102M - **Pension deficit:** €1,149M (net pension liability) - **Cash management assets:** €755M - **Cash:** €12,578M; S&P typically nets surplus cash. Eligible cash ≈ min of cash, but conservatively net a portion. Let's use accessible cash: €12,578M - some operating cash reserve. S&P typically allows netting of readily available cash minus ~€1-2B operating needs for a company this size. Estimate eligible cash ≈ €10,000M (conservative). **Adjusted Debt = €29,998M + €2,102M + €1,149M - €755M - €10,000M = €22,494M** Being more conservative with cash (net only €8,000M): Adjusted Debt ≈ €24,494M ## Step 5: FFO / Adjusted Debt Using moderate cash netting (~€9,000M): Adjusted Debt = €29,998 + €2,102 + €1,149 - €755 - €9,000 = €23,494M **FFO / Adjusted Debt = €8,138M / €23,494M = 0.3464** Adjusting slightly for more typical S&P treatment (less aggressive cash netting ~€7,500M): Adjusted Debt ≈ €25,994M → Ratio = 8,138/25,994 = 0.3131 0.3131