**Step 1 – Identify the relevant industry** Ørsted A/S is primarily a developer and operator of offshore wind farms and other renewable‑generation assets. It does not benefit from traditional rate‑base regulation, so its business risk profile is best assessed under the **Unregulated Power & Gas** sector methodology. **Step 2 – Compute Adjusted EBITDA for 2021 and 2022** | Item (DKK million) | 2021 | 2022 | |---------------------|------|------| | Profit Loss from operating activities before interest, taxes, depreciation & amortisation (EBITDA) | 24 296 | 32 057 | | **Non‑recurring items** | | | | – Loss on disposal of non‑current assets (adjustment + ) | 7 920 | 10 885 | | – (Gain) on disposal of investments (adjustment – ) | –742 | –331 | | **Joint‑venture proportional EBITDA** (share of profit/loss) | +27 (loss) | –154 (profit) | | **Adjusted EBITDA** = EBITDA + non‑recurring adjustments – JV profit | **32 985** | **42 457** | *Notes* - “Loss on disposal of non‑current assets” is taken from the cash‑flow adjustment line; a loss is added back. - The gain on disposal of investments is subtracted. - For the JV contribution, a loss is added back (+27) and a profit is subtracted (–154). **Step 3 – Compute FFO (Funds From Operations)** FFO = Adjusted EBITDA – cash interest – cash taxes | Item (DKK million) | 2021 | 2022 | |---------------------|------|------| | Adjusted EBITDA | 32 985 | 42 457 | | Cash interest paid (operating activities) | 3 985 | 8 548 | | Cash taxes paid (operating activities) | 1 380 | 1 263 | | **FFO** | **27 620** | **32 646** | **Step 4 – Compute Adjusted Debt** Adjusted Debt = (reported debt + finance‑lease liabilities + hybrid capital + other debt‑like items) – eligible cash | Item (DKK million) | 2021 (as of 2022‑01‑01) | 2022 (as of 2023‑01‑01) | |---------------------|--------------------------|--------------------------| | Long‑term borrowings | 31 502 | 60 451 | | Short‑term borrowings | 19 493 | 2 830 | | Finance‑lease liabilities (non‑current) | 6 812 | 7 697 | | Finance‑lease liabilities (current) | 720 | 569 | | Hybrid capital | 17 984 | 19 793 | | **Total debt & lease items** | **76 511** | **91 340** | | Eligible cash (cash + short‑term financial assets) | 8 624 + 21 228 = 29 852 | 16 178 + 25 197 = 41 375 | | **Adjusted Debt** | **46 659** | **49 965** | *Notes* - “Eligible cash” includes cash and current financial assets at fair value through profit or loss (highly liquid). - No pension deficit or guarantees are present in the data, so they are omitted. **Step 5 – Leverage ratio (Adjusted Debt / Adjusted EBITDA)** - 2021: 46 659 / 32 985 = **1.415 ×** - 2022: 49 965 / 42 457 = **1.176 ×** Change = 1.176 – 1.415 = **–0.239 ×** (≤ –0.2 ×) → **Improving**. **Step 6 – Cash‑flow coverage ratio (FFO / Adjusted Debt)** - 2021: 27 620 / 46 659 = **0.592** - 2022: 32 646 / 49 965 = **0.654** Change = 0.654 – 0.592 = **+0.062** (≥ +0.03) → **Improving**. **Step 7 – Combine the two signals** Both leverage improvement (‑0.24 ×) and cash‑flow coverage improvement (+0.062) indicate a better credit profile. **Conclusion – Credit trend 2021 → 2022: Improving** Improving