To determine the S&P credit trend for "A2A S.p.A." (and its subsidiaries) from 2021 to 2022, we apply the standard S&P methodology for calculating Adjusted EBITDA, Funds From Operations (FFO), and Adjusted Debt. **Step 1: 2021 and 2022 Adjusted EBITDA** A2A S.p.A.'s reported "Gross Operating Income EBITDA" provides a clean measure of operating performance, as the line item "Result From Nonrecurring Transactions" is reported below the operating profit and is thus already excluded. - **2021 Adjusted EBITDA:** €1,428 million - **2022 Adjusted EBITDA:** €1,505 million **Step 2: 2021 and 2022 FFO** FFO is estimated by subtracting cash interest and cash taxes from Adjusted EBITDA. - **2021 FFO:** €1,428m (EBITDA) - €80m (Interest Paid) - €165m (Income Taxes Paid) = €1,183 million - **2022 FFO:** €1,505m (EBITDA) - €75m (Interest Paid) - €201m (Income Taxes Paid) = €1,229 million *(Note: Dividends paid were classified as operating activities by the company, but per S&P guidelines, we keep them strictly as financing outflows and do not deduct them from FFO).* **Step 3: 2021 and 2022 Adjusted Debt** We calculate Adjusted Debt by taking reported financial liabilities, adding pension deficits, and netting eligible cash. - **2021 Adjusted Debt:** €5,068m (Noncurrent + Current Financial Liabilities) + €294m (Pension Deficit) - €964m (Cash and Equivalents) = €4,398 million - **2022 Adjusted Debt:** €6,889m (Noncurrent + Current Financial Liabilities) + €248m (Pension Deficit) - €2,584m (Cash and Equivalents) = €4,553 million **Step 4: Ratios and Trend Analysis** We can now calculate the leverage and coverage ratios to evaluate the credit trend: - **2021 Leverage (Adjusted Debt / Adjusted EBITDA):** €4,398m / €1,428m = 3.08x - **2022 Leverage (Adjusted Debt / Adjusted EBITDA):** €4,553m / €1,505m = 3.03x - *Change in Leverage:* -0.05x (A shift of less than 0.2x indicates a **Stable** trend). - **2021 Coverage (FFO / Adjusted Debt):** €1,183m / €4,398m = 0.269 (26.9%) - **2022 Coverage (FFO / Adjusted Debt):** €1,229m / €4,553m = 0.270 (27.0%) - *Change in Coverage:* +0.001 (+0.1 percentage points) (A shift between -0.03 and +0.03 indicates a **Stable** trend). With both the leverage signal and the cash-flow coverage signal pointing to stability without substantial directional movement, the overall credit trend resolves cleanly to Stable. Stable