To estimate the credit trend for Ørsted A/S, we follow the S&P methodology for the "Unregulated Power and Gas" industry. ### 1. Identify Industry Ørsted A/S is primarily a renewable energy company (wind, bioenergy, solar), fitting the **Unregulated Power and Gas** industry. ### 2-4. Estimates for 2021 * **Adjusted_EBITDA 2021:** Reported EBITDA is 24,296M DKK. * **FFO 2021:** * Cash Interest: Interest paid = 3,985M DKK. * Cash Taxes: Income taxes paid = 1,380M DKK. * FFO = 24,296 - 3,985 - 1,380 = **18,931M DKK**. * **Adjusted_Debt 2021:** * Reported Debt: Longterm Borrowings (31,502) + Shortterm Borrowings (19,493) = 50,995M DKK. * Leases: Noncurrent (6,812) + Current (720) = 7,532M DKK. * Eligible Cash: 8,624M DKK. * Adjusted Debt = 50,995 + 7,532 - 8,624 = **49,903M DKK**. ### 5-6. 2021 Ratios * **Adj. Debt / Adj. EBITDA:** 49,903 / 24,296 = **2.05x**. * **FFO / Adj. Debt:** 18,931 / 49,903 = **0.379**. ### 7-9. Estimates for 2022 * **Adjusted_EBITDA 2022:** Reported EBITDA is 32,057M DKK. * **FFO 2022:** * Cash Interest: Interest paid = 8,548M DKK. * Cash Taxes: Income taxes paid = 1,263M DKK. * FFO = 32,057 - 8,548 - 1,263 = **22,246M DKK**. * **Adjusted_Debt 2022:** * Reported Debt: Longterm Borrowings (60,451) + Shortterm Borrowings (2,830) = 63,281M DKK. * Leases: Noncurrent (7,697) + Current (569) = 8,266M DKK. * Eligible Cash: 16,178M DKK. * Adjusted Debt = 63,281 + 8,266 - 16,178 = **55,369M DKK**. ### 10-11. 2022 Ratios * **Adj. Debt / Adj. EBITDA:** 55,369 / 32,057 = **1.73x**. * **FFO / Adj. Debt:** 22,246 / 55,369 = **0.402**. ### 12. Classification * **Signal 1 (Leverage):** 1.73x - 2.05x = -0.32x. (Threshold ≤ -0.2x, **Improving**) * **Signal 2 (Coverage):** 0.402 - 0.379 = +0.023. (Threshold ≥ +0.03, **Stable**) Both signals point toward an improving or stable trajectory. Since the leverage improvement is significant (-0.32x) and the coverage ratio remains healthy despite the increase in interest expenses, the overall trend is considered Improving. Improving