To estimate the S&P-style adjusted leverage trend, use: **Net Debt / EBITDA** Approximate **Net Debt** as financial debt including lease and concession liabilities, less cash and cash equivalents. For 2022 opening balance sheet date: - Noncurrent financial liabilities excl. concession: €10,462.5m - Current financial liabilities excl. concession: €8,624.3m - Noncurrent lease liabilities: €1,298.1m - Current lease liabilities: €410.6m - Noncurrent concession liabilities: €1,588.4m - Current concession liabilities: €169.4m - Less cash and cash equivalents: €10,518.7m Net Debt 2022 ≈ 10,462.5 + 8,624.3 + 1,298.1 + 410.6 + 1,588.4 + 169.4 − 10,518.7 = **€12,034.6m** EBITDA 2021/2022 can be approximated as: - Operating income before share of net income/loss of equity-accounted entities: €1,212.7m - Add operating depreciation, amortization, provisions and impairment: €2,117.2m EBITDA 2022 ≈ **€3,329.9m** Leverage 2022 ≈ 12,034.6 / 3,329.9 = **3.61x** For 2023 opening balance sheet date: - Noncurrent financial liabilities excl. concession: €19,692.1m - Current financial liabilities excl. concession: €6,521.4m - Noncurrent lease liabilities: €1,656.2m - Current lease liabilities: €496.5m - Noncurrent concession liabilities: €1,680.5m - Current concession liabilities: €243.2m - Less cash and cash equivalents: €9,012.2m Net Debt 2023 ≈ 19,692.1 + 6,521.4 + 1,656.2 + 496.5 + 1,680.5 + 243.2 − 9,012.2 = **€21,277.7m** EBITDA 2022/2023: - Operating income before share of net income/loss of equity-accounted entities: €2,206.3m - Add operating depreciation, amortization, provisions and impairment: €3,178.6m EBITDA 2023 ≈ **€5,384.9m** Leverage 2023 ≈ 21,277.7 / 5,384.9 = **3.95x** Year-on-year change: - 3.95x − 3.61x = **+0.34x** Since the increase is greater than **0.3x**, the leverage trend is **Deteriorating**. Deteriorating